European U21 Championship qualifying Group E Round 1

Gales U21 vs Moldavia U21 analysis

Gales U21 Moldavia U21
54 ELO 45
-4% Tilt -6.5%
3750º General ELO ranking 6331º
23º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
64.3%
Gales U21
19.9%
Draw
15.8%
Moldavia U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
Gales U21
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
15.8%
Win probability
Moldavia U21
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gales U21
+5%
-18%
Moldavia U21

ELO progression

Gales U21
Moldavia U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gales U21
Gales U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2021
WAL
Gales U21
1 - 2
Irlanda U21
IRL
38%
25%
37%
55 59 4 0
17 Nov. 2020
GER
Alemania U21
2 - 1
Gales U21
WAL
84%
12%
4%
55 82 27 0
13 Nov. 2020
WAL
Gales U21
3 - 0
Moldavia U21
MDA
65%
20%
16%
55 45 10 0
09 Oct. 2020
BEL
Bélgica U21
5 - 0
Gales U21
WAL
72%
18%
10%
56 70 14 -1
04 Sep. 2020
BIH
Bosnia U21
1 - 0
Gales U21
WAL
53%
23%
23%
56 58 2 0

Matches

Moldavia U21
Moldavia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Nov. 2020
WAL
Gales U21
3 - 0
Moldavia U21
MDA
65%
20%
16%
45 55 10 0
13 Oct. 2020
MDA
Moldavia U21
1 - 0
Bélgica U21
BEL
5%
13%
82%
44 71 27 +1
09 Oct. 2020
MDA
Moldavia U21
0 - 5
Alemania U21
GER
4%
11%
86%
44 82 38 0
08 Sep. 2020
MDA
Moldavia U21
1 - 1
Bosnia U21
BIH
15%
22%
63%
43 59 16 +1
03 Sep. 2020
GER
Alemania U21
4 - 1
Moldavia U21
MDA
89%
9%
3%
44 82 38 -1