Gainsborough Trinity vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
GAI
1 - 2
UNM
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
ALF
4 - 1
GAI
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
GAI
0 - 0
ALF
32%
24%
45%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
KID
3 - 0
GAI
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
STO
1 - 0
GAI
62%
21%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
YOR
3 - 1
WOR
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
WOR
1 - 2
FYL
21%
24%
55%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
CUR
1 - 2
WOR
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SAL
3 - 0
WOR
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
WOR
2 - 1
AFC
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |