Gainsborough Trinity vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
MOO
1 - 1
GAI
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
GAI
2 - 0
WOR
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
WOR
1 - 1
GAI
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
GAI
1 - 2
NUN
22%
25%
53%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
GAI
2 - 2
ALF
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2006 |
VAU
1 - 0
WOR
37%
26%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
WOR
2 - 0
KET
43%
25%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
WOR
1 - 1
RFC
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
HYD
4 - 0
WOR
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
RFC
1 - 1
WOR
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |