Gainsborough Trinity vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
COL
4 - 1
GAI
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
GAI
1 - 0
BRA
43%
24%
34%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 3
GAI
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
GAI
0 - 0
LOW
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 2
GAI
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
TAM
0 - 3
CHO
25%
26%
49%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
HYD
2 - 2
TAM
17%
21%
62%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
TAM
1 - 1
BOS
24%
24%
53%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 1
TAM
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
TAM
0 - 1
STO
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |