Gainsborough Trinity vs Lancaster City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
GAI
1 - 0
MOO
29%
26%
45%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
TOW
1 - 1
GAI
71%
19%
10%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
BAR
3 - 0
GAI
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
GAI
2 - 3
HYD
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
WOR
1 - 2
GAI
59%
23%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
LAN
1 - 5
SCA
18%
26%
56%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2007 |
HYD
5 - 0
LAN
81%
13%
6%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
HUC
5 - 0
LAN
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
TOW
3 - 0
LAN
77%
16%
7%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
LAN
0 - 4
NUN
11%
20%
69%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | -1 |