Gainsborough Trinity vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
GAI
2 - 3
KET
28%
28%
44%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
GAI
1 - 2
VAU
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
STA
0 - 2
GAI
64%
20%
17%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
MOO
2 - 1
GAI
57%
23%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
GAI
1 - 0
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
HAR
0 - 1
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2006 |
CHE
3 - 2
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 0
CHE
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
DAR
2 - 0
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
NOT
0 - 1
BAR
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |