Non League Premier Norte. Jor. 14

Gainsborough Trinity vs Atherton Collieries analysis

Gainsborough Trinity Atherton Collieries
43 ELO 32
-5.7% Tilt -8.5%
5665º General ELO ranking 9269º
273º Country ELO ranking 561º
ELO win probability
71.1%
Gainsborough Trinity
19.3%
Draw
9.7%
Atherton Collieries

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
Gainsborough Trinity
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
9.7%
Win probability
Atherton Collieries
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gainsborough Trinity
+20%
-1%
Atherton Collieries

Points and table prediction

Gainsborough Trinity
Their league position
Atherton Collieries
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
17º
49
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
South Shields
85
85
100%
Warrington Town
75
75
100%
Bamber Bridge
74
74
100%
Gainsborough Trinity
70
70
100%
Hyde
67
67
100%
Radcliffe Borough
67
67
100%
Matlock Town
66
66
100%
United of Manchester
61
64
100%
Marine
62
62
100%
Warrington Rylands 1906 FC
10º
60
62
10º
100%
Stafford Rangers
11º
57
57
11º
100%
Guiseley
12º
56
56
12º
100%
Lancaster City
13º
56
56
13º
100%
Ashton United
15º
51
54
14º
100%
Whitby Town
14º
52
52
15º
100%
Atherton Collieries
17º
49
49
16º
100%
Morpeth Town
16º
49
48
17º
100%
Marske United
18º
48
48
18º
100%
Nantwich Town
19º
44
44
19º
100%
Stalybridge Celtic
20º
41
41
20º
100%
Liversedge
21º
41
41
21º
100%
Belper Town FC
22º
30
30
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gainsborough Trinity
Atherton Collieries
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Gainsborough Trinity
Atherton Collieries
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gainsborough Trinity
Gainsborough Trinity
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 2022
WAR
Warrington Town
0 - 2
Gainsborough Trinity
GAI
45%
26%
29%
41 41 0 0
08 Oct. 2022
GAI
Gainsborough Trinity
3 - 1
Barwell
BAR
62%
21%
17%
41 29 12 0
01 Oct. 2022
GAI
Gainsborough Trinity
0 - 1
Worksop Town
WOR
55%
23%
22%
41 34 7 0
27 Sep. 2022
GAI
Gainsborough Trinity
1 - 1
Guiseley
GUI
68%
21%
12%
42 33 9 -1
24 Sep. 2022
GAI
Gainsborough Trinity
4 - 0
Stalybridge Celtic
STA
61%
23%
16%
41 35 6 +1

Matches

Atherton Collieries
Atherton Collieries
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 2022
ATH
Atherton Collieries
1 - 1
Belper Town FC
BEL
51%
23%
26%
32 27 5 0
08 Oct. 2022
ATH
Atherton Collieries
0 - 3
Leek Town
LEE
27%
25%
48%
34 39 5 -2
01 Oct. 2022
ATH
Atherton Collieries
2 - 0
Ashton United
ASH
32%
24%
43%
32 35 3 +2
27 Sep. 2022
MAR
Marine
4 - 0
Atherton Collieries
ATH
65%
20%
15%
33 38 5 -1
24 Sep. 2022
SOU
South Shields
0 - 0
Atherton Collieries
ATH
82%
13%
5%
32 45 13 +1
X