Gainsborough Trinity vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
58.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GUI
2 - 0
GAI
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GAI
3 - 1
COR
27%
24%
50%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NUN
1 - 2
GAI
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
GAI
2 - 1
HYD
50%
24%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
GAI
0 - 2
WOR
36%
27%
37%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ALF
4 - 0
RED
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 23 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
TOW
1 - 1
ALF
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GLO
2 - 1
ALF
18%
23%
59%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
EAS
4 - 2
ALF
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SOL
0 - 1
ALF
26%
26%
49%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |