Gagra vs Zugdidi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
GAG
1 - 0
SIO
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
SHE
1 - 1
GAG
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
GAG
4 - 0
ZUG
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
MET
0 - 0
GAG
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
GAG
3 - 0
NOR
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zugdidi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
MET
0 - 0
ZUG
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
ZUG
2 - 1
NOR
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
GAG
4 - 0
ZUG
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
ZUG
2 - 0
CHI
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MER
1 - 0
ZUG
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |