Gagra vs Samtredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
6º
10º
8º
27
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GAG
3 - 1
KOL
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
DIN
0 - 3
GAG
37%
24%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
DBA
3 - 2
GAG
71%
18%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
GAG
0 - 5
GOR
26%
27%
48%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
GAG
0 - 0
DTB
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 1
SAB
21%
24%
56%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 0
SAM
59%
21%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
FTK
23%
26%
52%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
DBA
1 - 2
SAM
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
TEL
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |