Gagra vs Meshakhte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GAG
0 - 2
FTK
27%
27%
47%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
FTK
1 - 1
GAG
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
STU
4 - 6
GAG
27%
24%
49%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
GAG
1 - 0
BET
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SKU
0 - 2
GAG
19%
24%
57%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Meshakhte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MES
2 - 0
CHI
43%
25%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
MES
3 - 0
STU
33%
23%
44%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +3 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BET
3 - 2
MES
47%
23%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
MES
0 - 0
SKU
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
SAS
7 - 2
MES
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |