Gagra vs Mertskhali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
GAG
1 - 1
MET
18%
24%
58%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
SHU
2 - 2
GAG
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
GAG
2 - 0
TEL
46%
25%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
DIN
1 - 1
GAG
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
MET
2 - 0
GAG
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Mertskhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
MER
1 - 3
DBA
15%
21%
64%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
TEL
2 - 1
MER
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
MER
0 - 2
MES
27%
23%
49%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
KOL
3 - 0
MER
72%
18%
11%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
DBA
6 - 0
MER
75%
17%
9%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | -1 |