Gagra vs Kolkheti Poti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
43.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
10º
8º
20
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 67 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 64 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 63 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 62 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 56 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 45 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 44 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 35 |
8º
|
32% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 33 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 24 |
10º
|
76.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
29% | 82% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
62% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation
|
9% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DBA
0 - 1
GAG
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GAG
0 - 1
GOR
20%
26%
54%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
GAG
0 - 2
DTB
17%
23%
60%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
SAB
3 - 1
GAG
73%
18%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GAG
0 - 1
FTK
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Kolkheti Poti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 0
SAM
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 2
DBA
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 3
GOR
32%
28%
41%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
DTB
0 - 0
KOL
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
SAB
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |