Gagra vs FC Rustavi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
45%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
LOK
0 - 1
GAG
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
GAG
1 - 1
TSK
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
GAG
1 - 2
SIO
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BOR
1 - 2
GAG
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GAG
2 - 2
MGZ
43%
27%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Rustavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
WIT
0 - 0
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MET
6 - 1
BOR
74%
19%
8%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
MGZ
1 - 2
MET
29%
29%
42%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
MET
4 - 2
WIT
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
MET
1 - 3
WIT
36%
29%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |