Gaflenz vs Ortmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
KRE
0 - 1
GAF
39%
24%
37%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 3
GAF
24%
24%
52%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
VOS
3 - 0
GAF
59%
22%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
GAF
0 - 1
ASV
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SVH
0 - 2
GAF
26%
24%
50%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
SCO
0 - 0
SVH
43%
25%
33%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
SCO
1 - 2
KOT
18%
22%
60%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
SCR
1 - 1
SCO
71%
18%
11%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
KRE
0 - 0
SCO
75%
16%
10%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
SCO
0 - 2
LEO
19%
23%
58%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |