Gaflenz vs Marchfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
49.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
SVS
3 - 2
GAF
12%
18%
70%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
GAF
1 - 1
BAD
35%
25%
40%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
WAI
2 - 1
GAF
26%
22%
52%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
GAF
1 - 2
OBE
52%
22%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 2
GAF
36%
25%
39%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 2
ZWE
68%
18%
15%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LEO
3 - 2
MAN
18%
21%
61%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
5 - 1
WUR
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
GOT
3 - 2
MAN
15%
20%
64%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 2
STP
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |