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Austria Fourth Division. Baja Austria, Matchday 10

Gaflenz vs Kremser SC analysis

Gaflenz Kremser SC
9 ELO 19
20% Tilt 26%
18192º General ELO ranking 6535º
324º Country ELO ranking 92º
ELO win probability
41.8%
Gaflenz
24.6%
Draw
33.6%
Kremser SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
Gaflenz
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.6%
Win probability
Kremser SC
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gaflenz
+74%
+85%
Kremser SC

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Leobendorf
65
65
50%
Stripfing
65
65
50%
SC Retz
62
62
100%
Kremser SC
60
60
100%
Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
53
53
100%
Kottingbrunn
52
52
100%
Gaflenz
45
45
100%
Langenrohr
36
36
100%
Waidhofen / Thaya
34
34
100%
St. Peter
10º
30
30
10º
50%
Ardagger
11º
30
30
11º
50%
Zwettl
12º
27
27
12º
100%
Rohrendorf
13º
26
26
14º
50%
Spratzern
14º
26
26
13º
50%
Rohrbach
15º
25
25
15º
100%
SV Haitzendorf
16º
23
23
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gaflenz
Kremser SC
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Gaflenz
GAF
Kremser SC
KRE
Leobendorf
LEO
Ardagger
ARD
Rohrendorf
ROH
Kottingbrunn
KOT
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gaflenz
Gaflenz
1%
X%
2%
ELO GAF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2017
GAF
Gaflenz
2 - 1
Langenrohr
LAN
44%
27%
29%
148 141 7 +1
23 Sep. 2017
SCR
SC Retz
3 - 1
Gaflenz
GAF
44%
27%
29%
150 167 17 -1
16 Sep. 2017
GAF
Gaflenz
0 - 0
Rohrbach
SVR
46%
27%
27%
150 171 -21 0
08 Sep. 2017
ZWE
Zwettl
1 - 3
Gaflenz
GAF
46%
27%
27%
148 131 -17 +1
02 Sep. 2017
GAF
Gaflenz
2 - 3
Spratzern
SPR
46%
27%
27%
148 150 -2 -1

Matches

Kremser SC
Kremser SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO KRE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2017
KRE
Kremser SC
3 - 0
SC Retz
SCR
48%
27%
26%
259 168 91 -1
22 Sep. 2017
SVR
Rohrbach
0 - 0
Kremser SC
KRE
45%
27%
28%
259 171 -88 0
15 Sep. 2017
KRE
Kremser SC
2 - 2
Zwettl
ZWE
49%
26%
25%
259 129 130 0
09 Sep. 2017
SPR
Spratzern
0 - 2
Kremser SC
KRE
45%
27%
28%
258 151 -107 +1
01 Sep. 2017
KRE
Kremser SC
3 - 2
SV Haitzendorf
SVH
49%
26%
25%
257 127 130 +1