Gafetense vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
71.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gafetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
0 - 1
ANG
15%
19%
66%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 1
GAF
86%
10%
4%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
UDL
2 - 0
GAF
83%
12%
4%
|
19 | 54 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GAF
0 - 3
LUS
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SER
0 - 0
GAF
75%
16%
10%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 0
LUS
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ANG
5 - 0
IDE
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -3 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
IDE
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
IDE
3 - 2
BEN
31%
27%
43%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 2
GDA
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |