Gafanha U15 vs Marinhense U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-87%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
4º
4º
29
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gafanha U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ACA
2 - 0
GFN
64%
18%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MRV
1 - 1
GFN
47%
22%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ANA
0 - 4
GFN
14%
18%
69%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
GFN
0 - 0
TON
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 2
GFN
9%
15%
76%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Marinhense U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
UDL
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
LEM
0 - 3
MAR
15%
18%
66%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
FAT
4 - 0
MAR
22%
20%
58%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
TON
2 - 0
MAR
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
ACA
25%
21%
54%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |