Fylde vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ALD
1 - 2
FYL
15%
24%
61%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
ALT
3 - 1
FYL
26%
23%
51%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
UNM
1 - 4
FYL
15%
19%
66%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
OUF
1 - 3
FYL
10%
16%
74%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
SQU
0 - 2
FYL
7%
13%
81%
|
55 | 13 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 0
BRO
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 0
UNM
69%
20%
11%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 2
PNE
10%
17%
73%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
LTO
0 - 4
CHO
8%
14%
78%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
ATH
0 - 2
CHO
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |