FVC vs SWZ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
65.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
FVC
2 - 3
GRC
25%
21%
54%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
SVB
5 - 1
FVC
67%
17%
15%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VKW
2 - 1
FVC
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SWZ
3 - 3
FVC
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FVC
3 - 1
WVV
16%
19%
65%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
HOO
1 - 0
SWZ
17%
18%
65%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SWZ
4 - 1
VVH
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
GOM
0 - 0
SWZ
26%
20%
54%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
SWZ
8 - 1
WVV
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VVR
1 - 1
SWZ
21%
19%
60%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |