FVC vs Pelikaan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
68.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-79%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
14º
14º
48
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 66.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 33.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WIN
5 - 1
FVC
52%
21%
27%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FVC
1 - 1
VVG
56%
19%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DRA
1 - 3
FVC
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
FVC
1 - 2
VVH
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SVB
5 - 2
FVC
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Pelikaan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PEL
7 - 2
LEE
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PEL
3 - 2
BRO
52%
21%
28%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PEL
3 - 3
ORA
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ZMV
4 - 2
PEL
6%
12%
82%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
PEL
4 - 0
DRA
65%
19%
17%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |