Lauda vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
FCE
1 - 1
FVL
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
FVL
1 - 1
WAL
36%
27%
37%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
STU
4 - 2
FVL
50%
27%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
FVL
1 - 0
VIL
47%
26%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
ULM
3 - 1
FVL
81%
13%
6%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
HEI
1 - 0
REU
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
FRE
1 - 2
HEI
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
WAL
1 - 2
HEI
27%
24%
49%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
HEI
4 - 4
CRA
68%
18%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
FRE
3 - 4
HEI
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | +1 |