Lauda vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2002 |
PFO
2 - 0
FVL
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
FVL
1 - 0
DEN
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2002 |
WMI
0 - 2
FVL
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
FVL
1 - 0
FRE
39%
28%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2002 |
VIL
1 - 1
FVL
31%
26%
44%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2002 |
DIT
0 - 3
FRE
42%
25%
34%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
FRE
0 - 2
PFU
21%
22%
56%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
SDO
1 - 1
FRE
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2002 |
FRE
1 - 1
STU
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2002 |
KSC
1 - 1
FRE
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |