FV Endenich vs Siegburger SV 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
68.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
10º
16º
13º
39
6º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FV Endenich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
H05
4 - 0
FVE
85%
10%
4%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FVE
1 - 6
VFL
9%
15%
76%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SPV
4 - 1
FVE
56%
20%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
FVE
3 - 0
ALT
29%
22%
49%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
SPI
5 - 0
FVE
51%
21%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VFL
1 - 3
SIE
75%
14%
11%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SIE
3 - 3
SCF
42%
23%
36%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SIE
1 - 3
VFL
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SPF
2 - 4
SIE
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
SIE
1 - 0
VIA
62%
20%
19%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |