FV Endenich vs SC Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
74.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+185%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
9º
16º
13º
39
4º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 62 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 60 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 37 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 29 |
13º
|
64.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 28 |
14º
|
63.5% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 11 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
35.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FV Endenich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FVE
0 - 2
BFR
18%
20%
62%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SPV
2 - 1
FVE
47%
21%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FVE
3 - 1
BGP
30%
23%
48%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
HUR
0 - 2
FVE
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FVE
2 - 0
USC
13%
17%
70%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
SC Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SPV
2 - 1
SCF
15%
17%
69%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
0 - 1
HUR
75%
14%
10%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GET
1 - 2
SCF
15%
17%
68%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 1
KON
60%
18%
21%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SVE
2 - 4
SCF
59%
21%
21%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |