Landesliga Mittelrhein 1 Round 23

FV Bad Honnef vs Fortuna Köln II analysis

FV Bad Honnef Fortuna Köln II
18 ELO 19
3% Tilt -11.4%
36367º General ELO ranking 5549º
1393º Country ELO ranking 279º
ELO win probability
28.2%
FV Bad Honnef
20.3%
Draw
51.5%
Fortuna Köln II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
FV Bad Honnef
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
51.5%
Win probability
Fortuna Köln II
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FV Bad Honnef
-17%
-150%
Fortuna Köln II

ELO progression

FV Bad Honnef
Fortuna Köln II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FV Bad Honnef
FV Bad Honnef
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2018
LEV
FC Leverkusen
2 - 0
FV Bad Honnef
FBH
20%
20%
59%
18 11 7 0
02 Apr. 2018
FBH
FV Bad Honnef
2 - 1
Germania Windeck
GEW
72%
15%
12%
17 13 4 +1
25 Mar. 2018
SHN
SSV Homburg-Nümbrecht
0 - 3
FV Bad Honnef
FBH
66%
18%
16%
16 18 2 +1
18 Mar. 2018
SVD
Deutz
3 - 1
FV Bad Honnef
FBH
82%
11%
7%
17 23 6 -1
11 Mar. 2018
FBH
FV Bad Honnef
0 - 0
SV Lohmar
SVL
80%
12%
8%
17 12 5 0

Matches

Fortuna Köln II
Fortuna Köln II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2018
SCF
Fortuna Köln II
3 - 1
SV Lohmar
SVL
68%
17%
15%
19 16 3 0
02 Apr. 2018
SCB
SC Bruhl
1 - 4
Fortuna Köln II
SCF
66%
17%
17%
18 21 3 +1
25 Mar. 2018
SCF
Fortuna Köln II
3 - 2
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
BLH
48%
21%
31%
17 18 1 +1
18 Mar. 2018
SVS
Schlebusch
3 - 0
Fortuna Köln II
SCF
71%
16%
14%
18 22 4 -1
11 Mar. 2018
SCF
Fortuna Köln II
1 - 1
VfL Rheinbach
VLR
61%
19%
20%
18 16 2 0