Furiani Agliani vs Besancon RC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
16º
4º
40
6º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Furiani Agliani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 1
FUR
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FUR
0 - 1
ESW
70%
20%
11%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
COL
0 - 1
FUR
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FUR
1 - 0
SPI
31%
26%
44%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FLE
2 - 1
FUR
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Besancon RC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BRC
3 - 2
STG
20%
27%
53%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SML
1 - 1
BRC
77%
16%
7%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BRC
0 - 0
BOB
11%
22%
68%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 1
BRC
66%
20%
15%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BRC
3 - 4
MET
24%
23%
53%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |