Premier League Round 2

Fulham vs Arsenal analysis

Fulham Arsenal
85 ELO 91
9.7% Tilt -15.9%
78º General ELO ranking 16º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
22.7%
Fulham
23.1%
Draw
54.2%
Arsenal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
Fulham
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
54.2%
Win probability
Arsenal
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fulham
-1%
+1%
Arsenal

ELO progression

Fulham
Arsenal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fulham
Fulham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2013
SUN
Sunderland
0 - 1
Fulham
FUL
41%
28%
31%
85 82 3 0
10 Aug. 2013
FUL
Fulham
1 - 2
Parma
PAR
58%
22%
19%
84 82 2 +1
05 Aug. 2013
FUL
Fulham
1 - 1
Real Betis
BET
47%
24%
29%
84 85 1 0
28 Jul. 2013
BRE
Werder Bremen
0 - 0
Fulham
FUL
49%
25%
26%
84 82 2 0
19 May. 2013
SWA
Swansea City
0 - 3
Fulham
FUL
49%
26%
25%
84 84 0 0

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2013
FEN
Fenerbahçe
0 - 3
Arsenal
ARS
23%
23%
54%
91 86 5 0
17 Aug. 2013
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 3
Aston Villa
ASV
72%
17%
11%
91 84 7 0
10 Aug. 2013
ARS
Arsenal
3 - 1
Manchester City
MAC
46%
25%
30%
91 92 1 0
04 Aug. 2013
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 2
Galatasaray SK
GAL
70%
18%
12%
91 86 5 0
03 Aug. 2013
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 2
Napoli
NAP
66%
20%
14%
91 88 3 0