Fuglebakken vs Kjellerup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.3%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
82.4%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
12%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.8%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuglebakken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
FUG
0 - 3
ACH
10%
17%
74%
|
17 | 57 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Kjellerup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
TAR
3 - 0
KJE
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
KJE
3 - 0
AVA
47%
24%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
KJE
35%
24%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2018 |
KJE
1 - 3
KOL
40%
24%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
MID
7 - 3
KJE
46%
24%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |