Fuentes vs Mallén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
CFJ
2 - 1
FUE
59%
22%
19%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
FUE
2 - 2
ZUE
49%
25%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
TER
0 - 2
FUE
49%
25%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
VIL
3 - 0
FUE
56%
24%
21%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
FUE
0 - 2
UDC
45%
26%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mallén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
MAL
1 - 1
UNI
17%
22%
61%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
UFC
4 - 1
MAL
68%
19%
13%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
MAL
0 - 0
BIN
39%
28%
34%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
MAL
2 - 0
LAL
54%
24%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
CDE
1 - 0
MAL
57%
25%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |