Fuente del Rey vs Montellano CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
64%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuente del Rey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
CUE
3 - 1
FER
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
FER
0 - 3
MDU
49%
21%
30%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
PBA
4 - 1
FER
70%
17%
13%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FER
0 - 4
MAR
17%
17%
66%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MOS
2 - 1
FER
71%
15%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Montellano CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
MON
1 - 1
ATL
70%
19%
12%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CDR
2 - 5
MON
23%
22%
56%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MON
2 - 1
UNI
33%
25%
42%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PAL
1 - 0
MON
55%
22%
22%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MON
3 - 1
ANT
54%
22%
24%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |