Tercera - Postupové Play Off Final
Global 4-0
Fuenlabrada vs CD Coria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
COR
0 - 3
FUE
36%
26%
39%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
FUE
2 - 0
CER
35%
27%
37%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
CER
2 - 1
FUE
54%
25%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
FUE
60%
22%
18%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
FUE
1 - 2
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Coria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
COR
0 - 3
FUE
36%
26%
39%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
COR
64%
20%
17%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
COR
3 - 0
VAL
21%
23%
56%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +4 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
AVI
2 - 2
COR
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
COR
0 - 0
AVI
21%
25%
54%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |