AD Sporting San Fernando vs Union Valdebernardo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
35.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Sporting San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CDR
3 - 0
FUE
50%
21%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FUE
2 - 0
COS
81%
11%
8%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FUE
2 - 1
SVB
60%
19%
22%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 1
FUE
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
FUE
0 - 1
ESC
35%
21%
44%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Union Valdebernardo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
UVA
1 - 1
AMB
34%
21%
44%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
AMI
3 - 2
UVA
46%
21%
33%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SAB
1 - 2
UVA
16%
18%
66%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
UVA
2 - 2
FER
33%
21%
46%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LSA
1 - 3
UVA
21%
20%
59%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | +1 |