Fuencarral vs Julian Marias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuencarral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CDC
0 - 3
FUE
26%
20%
54%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FUE
3 - 1
OLI
73%
15%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
LSA
2 - 1
FUE
26%
22%
52%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
FUE
3 - 2
ESP
43%
22%
35%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ARU
1 - 3
FUE
69%
16%
15%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Julian Marias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CDJ
2 - 5
CAO
21%
19%
60%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
RSB
5 - 0
CDJ
72%
15%
13%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CDJ
0 - 3
CAN
30%
21%
49%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CLU
2 - 0
CDJ
48%
21%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CDJ
1 - 3
CFS
27%
21%
52%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |