Ilbirs vs Alay Osh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
59.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilbirs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2025 |
MUR
4 - 1
FTS
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
FTS
2 - 0
DBI
12%
19%
69%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | +3 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
NEF
2 - 0
FTS
68%
19%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
FTS
1 - 3
ALD
24%
22%
54%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
ALG
2 - 1
FTS
60%
21%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alay Osh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
MUR
2 - 1
FKA
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
FKA
4 - 2
ASI
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
DBI
1 - 1
FKA
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
FKA
4 - 0
BIS
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
BIS
0 - 0
FKA
11%
16%
73%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | -1 |