Oberliga Baden-Württemberg Round 29

FSV Hollenbach vs VfR Aalen analysis

FSV Hollenbach VfR Aalen
45 ELO 52
-6.4% Tilt -3.6%
5599º General ELO ranking 3982º
278º Country ELO ranking 180º
ELO win probability
24.9%
FSV Hollenbach
25.1%
Draw
50%
VfR Aalen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
FSV Hollenbach
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
50%
Win probability
VfR Aalen
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FSV Hollenbach
+106%
+52%
VfR Aalen

Points and table prediction

FSV Hollenbach
Their league position
VfR Aalen
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
14º
12º
60
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
95
95
100%
TSG Balingen
73
76
100%
VfR Mannheim
67
67
100%
VfR Aalen
60
60
100%
CfR Pforzheim
60
60
100%
Oberachern
52
52
100%
Nottingen
50
50
100%
TSG Backnang
49
49
100%
Reutlingen
49
49
100%
TSV Essingen
10º
48
48
10º
100%
Normannia Gmünd
11º
45
45
11º
100%
FSV Hollenbach
12º
45
45
12º
100%
Bissingen
13º
43
43
13º
100%
Ravensburg
14º
40
40
14º
100%
SV Fellbach
15º
30
30
15º
90%
Zuzenhausen
16º
27
27
16º
90%
Leinfelden-Echterdingen
17º
21
21
17º
100%
FC 08 Villingen II
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
FSV Hollenbach
VfR Aalen
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

FSV Hollenbach
VfR Aalen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FSV Hollenbach
FSV Hollenbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2025
SVF
SV Fellbach
1 - 2
FSV Hollenbach
FSV
32%
22%
46%
24 20 4 0
12 Apr. 2025
FSV
FSV Hollenbach
3 - 1
CfR Pforzheim
PFO
22%
23%
55%
22 31 9 +2
06 Apr. 2025
FCV
FC 08 Villingen II
0 - 3
FSV Hollenbach
FSV
16%
19%
65%
22 12 10 0
29 Mar. 2025
FSV
FSV Hollenbach
0 - 1
VfR Mannheim
VFR
24%
22%
54%
22 30 8 0
22 Mar. 2025
RAV
Ravensburg
2 - 0
FSV Hollenbach
FSV
39%
24%
37%
23 22 1 -1

Matches

VfR Aalen
VfR Aalen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2025
VFR
VfR Aalen
3 - 1
Oberachern
OBE
45%
24%
31%
31 30 1 0
12 Apr. 2025
VFR
VfR Aalen
6 - 0
SV Fellbach
SVF
68%
18%
15%
31 20 11 0
05 Apr. 2025
PFO
CfR Pforzheim
3 - 0
VfR Aalen
VFR
41%
24%
35%
33 29 4 -2
29 Mar. 2025
VFR
VfR Aalen
3 - 0
FC 08 Villingen II
FCV
80%
13%
7%
33 12 21 0
22 Mar. 2025
VFR
VfR Mannheim
2 - 0
VfR Aalen
VFR
31%
24%
45%
34 27 7 -1