FSV Hollenbach vs Oberachern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
8º
14º
10º
8
4º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
10 | 65 |
1º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 62 |
2º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 62 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 62 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
8 | 55 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 55 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 53 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 52 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 49 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
|
11º
|
4 | 47 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 46 |
11º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 43 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 41 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 40 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 37 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 35 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 31 |
17º
|
27.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 17 |
18º
|
87.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 87% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FSV Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
FSV
4 - 1
WUR
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
WAC
3 - 1
FSV
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
FSV
6 - 3
LEI
65%
20%
16%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
FCZ
2 - 3
FSV
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FSV
3 - 2
SGS
10%
20%
71%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
OBE
3 - 5
SGS
15%
22%
63%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
TSB
1 - 0
OBE
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
BAL
0 - 2
OBE
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
OBE
1 - 2
TSV
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
FSV
2 - 2
OBE
30%
26%
45%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |