FSV Hollenbach vs ATSV Mutschelbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
29.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
8º
6º
41
6º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 63% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 37% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FSV Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FSV
2 - 2
GOP
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TSB
4 - 3
FSV
42%
22%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FSV
4 - 1
VIL
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TSV
4 - 3
FSV
14%
18%
68%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 0
OFF
70%
17%
14%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
ATSV Mutschelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ATS
1 - 4
REU
68%
16%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GOP
2 - 1
ATS
58%
20%
23%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ATS
1 - 3
TSB
67%
17%
16%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
ATS
52%
20%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ATS
3 - 1
TSV
86%
9%
5%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | +1 |