FS Navalcarnero vs Móstoles CF C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.7%
Win probability
3.67
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Navalcarnero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
MOS
0 - 6
NAV
36%
20%
44%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
NAV
4 - 1
PEA
81%
11%
9%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CDC
3 - 2
NAV
33%
20%
47%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
NAV
1 - 3
VIL
19%
18%
63%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
TGA
0 - 6
NAV
15%
16%
70%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Móstoles CF C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
CDC
3 - 2
MOS
70%
16%
14%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
MOS
2 - 7
VIL
8%
13%
80%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
TGA
0 - 6
MOS
46%
21%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
MOS
1 - 2
ESC
51%
20%
30%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CDE
3 - 0
MOS
81%
12%
8%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |