FK Metta vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
9º
9º
40
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 1
SUP
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
BFC
4 - 2
FSM
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FSM
1 - 1
FKT
31%
24%
46%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
AUD
3 - 1
FSM
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FSM
1 - 1
LIE
13%
22%
65%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 1
FKJ
70%
20%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 1
FKJ
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 1
RIG
13%
22%
65%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 5
FKJ
75%
18%
8%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +2 |