FK Metta vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
9º
7º
42
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 1
FSM
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FSM
2 - 0
LIE
19%
24%
58%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 2
VAL
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
FSM
70%
18%
13%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 1
FAS
23%
22%
56%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BFC
3 - 1
FKT
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 0
GRO
28%
24%
49%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
49%
26%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
BFC
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DAI
0 - 0
BFC
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |