UEFA Youth League 1/64
Global 0-4
Jelgava U19 vs MTK Budapest U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
78.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.7%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jelgava U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
MTK
3 - 0
FSJ
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
MTK Budapest U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
UJP
1 - 1
MTK
11%
16%
73%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VAS
0 - 1
MTK
19%
21%
60%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
MTK
3 - 0
FSJ
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MTK
1 - 1
BUD
80%
12%
7%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
MTK
16%
20%
64%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |