Frýdlant vs Havířov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
71.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
8º
6º
3
2º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
6 | 30 |
1º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 29 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 27 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
8 | 25 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 24 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
7 | 24 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 24 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 24 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 21 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 20 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 19 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 16 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 16 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 11 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 10 |
16º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5.5% | 14% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 86% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frýdlant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2025 |
FRY
2 - 1
BOS
18%
23%
59%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
OPA
0 - 1
FRY
76%
14%
10%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
FRY
1 - 1
FPR
56%
21%
24%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
BIL
1 - 0
FRY
65%
19%
17%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
FRY
1 - 4
VIT
10%
17%
73%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Havířov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
FCV
2 - 2
HAV
14%
17%
69%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
HAV
1 - 4
FRY
31%
22%
47%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
VSE
2 - 3
HAV
42%
23%
35%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
HAV
3 - 1
BIL
79%
13%
7%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
VIT
3 - 1
HAV
43%
24%
34%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |