Fronteirense vs Terrugem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fronteirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 7
FRO
12%
18%
71%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
FRO
0 - 2
MOS
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FRO
0 - 0
MON
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GAV
3 - 1
FRO
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Terrugem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
TER
83%
12%
6%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
TER
1 - 1
MOS
12%
18%
70%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
TER
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
TER
0 - 1
GAF
19%
21%
61%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |