Friol vs Sporting Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Friol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
OUR
2 - 3
FRI
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FRI
8 - 1
RSI
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SRO
0 - 2
FRI
32%
24%
44%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FRI
3 - 3
MIL
26%
22%
52%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BEC
1 - 2
FRI
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SLU
4 - 1
CHA
53%
22%
25%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 0
SLU
55%
21%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SLU
3 - 2
COR
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
SLU
43%
23%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SLU
5 - 1
CAR
29%
22%
49%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +2 |