Frigg vs Ullern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.7%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.6%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.3%
2.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
5º
2º
19
4º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 61 |
1º
|
73% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 57 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 53 |
3º
|
48.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
48.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 45 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 39 |
6º
|
37.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 35 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 34 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 33 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 30 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 26 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 22 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 18 |
13º
|
48.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 14 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
15% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
56.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
28.5% | 92% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frigg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
HAR
1 - 4
FRI
14%
17%
69%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
FRI
5 - 1
ILU
79%
13%
8%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
TRO
3 - 5
FRI
7%
12%
81%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FRI
1 - 3
LOR
63%
18%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
FRI
2 - 1
KFU
79%
13%
8%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
SOI
3 - 0
ULL
29%
21%
50%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
ULL
4 - 2
FVI
49%
21%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
ULL
1 - 2
BAR
26%
22%
52%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ULL
2 - 5
FOL
12%
17%
71%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SIK
1 - 4
ULL
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |