Norwegian Fourth Division Group 1 Round 4

Frigg vs IL Ulfstind analysis

Frigg IL Ulfstind
51 ELO 28
31.7% Tilt 38.2%
4546º General ELO ranking 9475º
61º Country ELO ranking 144º
ELO win probability
79.2%
Frigg
12.7%
Draw
8%
IL Ulfstind

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
Frigg
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
8%
Win probability
IL Ulfstind
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Frigg
+10%
+82%
IL Ulfstind

Points and table prediction

Frigg
Their league position
IL Ulfstind
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
20
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Junkeren
41
63
73%
Frigg
35
58
51.5%
Bærum
34
54
50%
Tromso II
29
49
50.5%
Fløya
28
45
47%
Gamle Oslo
24
41
53%
KFUM Oslo II
19
33
28%
Harstad
10º
18
32
22.5%
IL Ulfstind
20
31
16.5%
Ullern
19
30
10º
23%
Skjervøy
11º
18
29
11º
26%
Sortland
12º
14
21
12º
48%
Funnefoss / Vormsund
13º
11
19
13º
55%
Alta II
14º
6
13
14º
81.5%
Expected probabilities
Frigg
IL Ulfstind
Promotion
24.5% 0%
Promotion play-offs
51.5% 0%
Mid-table
24% 96.5%
Relegation
0% 3.5%

ELO progression

Frigg
IL Ulfstind
Gamle Oslo
KFUM Oslo II
Sortland
Alta II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Frigg
Frigg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2025
TRO
Tromso II
3 - 5
Frigg
FRI
7%
12%
81%
50 27 23 0
12 Apr. 2025
FRI
Frigg
1 - 3
Lorenskog IF
LOR
63%
18%
19%
51 47 4 -1
07 Apr. 2025
FRI
Frigg
2 - 1
KFUM Oslo II
KFU
79%
13%
8%
51 32 19 0
29 Mar. 2025
GOF
Gamle Oslo
2 - 2
Frigg
FRI
20%
20%
60%
51 37 14 0
27 Oct. 2024
NOR
Nordstrand
2 - 4
Frigg
FRI
32%
22%
46%
50 48 2 +1

Matches

IL Ulfstind
IL Ulfstind
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2025
ILU
IL Ulfstind
2 - 1
Harstad
HAR
24%
20%
56%
26 38 12 0
13 Apr. 2025
ILU
IL Ulfstind
0 - 3
Tromsdalen
TRO
5%
10%
85%
26 63 37 0
03 Apr. 2025
FLO
Fløya
2 - 0
IL Ulfstind
ILU
85%
9%
6%
27 46 19 -1
29 Mar. 2025
ILU
IL Ulfstind
1 - 0
Bærum
BAR
16%
17%
67%
24 42 18 +3
27 Oct. 2024
SIK
Skjervøy
2 - 1
IL Ulfstind
ILU
74%
14%
12%
24 37 13 0