Carioca 1 Primera Ronda. Jor. 8

Friburguense vs Portuguesa RJ analysis

Friburguense Portuguesa RJ
48 ELO 47
-2.6% Tilt -2.9%
22975º General ELO ranking 1746º
599º Country ELO ranking 58º
ELO win probability
41%
Friburguense
25.5%
Draw
33.5%
Portuguesa RJ

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
Friburguense
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.5%
Win probability
Portuguesa RJ
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Friburguense
+19%
-5%
Portuguesa RJ

ELO progression

Friburguense
Portuguesa RJ
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Friburguense
Friburguense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2016
FRI
Friburguense
1 - 2
Fluminense
FLU
8%
17%
74%
47 79 32 0
25 Feb. 2016
VAS
Vasco da Gama
2 - 2
Friburguense
FRI
80%
15%
5%
46 78 32 +1
21 Feb. 2016
RES
Resende
1 - 1
Friburguense
FRI
62%
21%
17%
46 53 7 0
14 Feb. 2016
FRI
Friburguense
2 - 0
Cabofriense
CAB
42%
25%
33%
45 46 1 +1
10 Feb. 2016
BAN
Bangu
3 - 1
Friburguense
FRI
51%
26%
23%
46 50 4 -1

Matches

Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa RJ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2016
POR
Portuguesa RJ
0 - 1
América RJ
AME
39%
27%
34%
48 48 0 0
25 Feb. 2016
POR
Portuguesa RJ
3 - 1
Bonsucesso
BON
47%
28%
26%
48 45 3 0
20 Feb. 2016
MAD
Madureira RJ
2 - 1
Portuguesa RJ
POR
50%
24%
26%
48 51 3 0
15 Feb. 2016
VOL
Volta Redonda
2 - 2
Portuguesa RJ
POR
53%
24%
24%
48 53 5 0
11 Feb. 2016
POR
Portuguesa RJ
0 - 5
Flamengo
FLA
8%
18%
74%
48 80 32 0
X