Friburguense vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
49.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
POR
4 - 3
FRI
31%
27%
43%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FRI
3 - 2
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
RES
1 - 4
FRI
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
FRI
1 - 1
RES
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
FRI
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 0
OES
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
OES
1 - 1
CAP
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
OES
3 - 0
UNI
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
OES
2 - 2
TAU
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
OES
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |